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BOJ Opinions Point to Further Rate Hikes, Some Urge Every-Few-Months Moves

Members frame normalization as warranted by a policy rate seen too low for Japan's inflation.

Overview

  • The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate to about 0.75% at the Dec. 18–19 meeting with a unanimous vote by the nine-member board.
  • The published summary of 'main opinions' shows multiple calls to keep adjusting the degree of easing, with one member proposing hikes roughly once every few months.
  • One policymaker described Japan's rate, given current inflation, as among the lowest worldwide, underscoring the case for additional tightening.
  • Several members linked yen weakness and higher long-term yields to a policy rate that is too low relative to inflation.
  • The rationale for December's move included reduced uncertainty over U.S. high-tariff policy and a higher likelihood of solid wage gains in next spring's labor talks, and the yen firmed slightly after the opinions were released following earlier weakness post-press conference.