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BOJ Governor Ueda says Japan can weather U.S. tariffs and considers further rate hikes

High corporate profits are cushioning tariff shocks, supporting a gradual rise in inflation toward the BOJ’s 2% objective.

Overview

  • Ueda asserted that Japan’s economy can withstand downward pressure from recent U.S. tariff measures thanks to historically high corporate profits serving as a buffer
  • He warned that uncertainty over U.S. trade policy could dent exports, prompt firms to delay capital spending and discourage wage increases
  • The central bank expects underlying consumer inflation to temporarily stagnate before gradually climbing toward its 2% target
  • Japan’s tight labour market is projected to sustain a cycle of concurrent wage and price increases, a key prerequisite for future rate hikes
  • Ueda signalled the BOJ’s readiness to lift interest rates again if inflationary pressures remain sustained