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BOJ Flags Wage-Led Inflation Goal as Government Warns Against Early Rate Hike

A pointed exchange in parliament underscored the political hurdle facing any December rate increase.

Overview

  • Governor Kazuo Ueda said the Bank of Japan is targeting moderate inflation supported by rising wages and improving economic activity.
  • Ueda said underlying inflation that strips out temporary factors is gradually moving toward the 2% goal, citing resilient consumption and a tight job market.
  • Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama told lawmakers inflation has not stably reached 2% and said it is premature for the central bank to raise rates.
  • Markets signaled caution, with super-long government bond yields near a one-month high and the yen around 154.8 per dollar and near a record low around 179.5 per euro.
  • Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s pledged spending package and reflationist appointments have complicated BOJ normalization after two hikes to 0.5% by January and a subsequent pause.