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BOJ Deputy Signals Ongoing Rate Hikes, Flags High Global Uncertainty

Himino says policy moves hinge on data with U.S. tariffs presenting unclear downside risk.

Overview

  • Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said the Bank of Japan should keep raising interest rates if its baseline outlook holds.
  • He cautioned that global uncertainty remains high and that the impact of U.S. tariffs could be larger than expected.
  • The BOJ expects underlying inflation to eventually stabilize around the 2% target after a temporary stall linked to slower growth.
  • Himino offered no timetable for further tightening, saying forecasts will be reviewed without preconception and risks reassessed continuously.
  • Tight labor markets and wage gains could lift prices, while weaker global demand and higher U.S. levies may exert downward pressure.