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BofA Starts Atlassian at Neutral, Flagging Questions on Post–Data Center Growth

The note highlights uncertainty from a faster Data Center phase-out plus recent large acquisitions.

Overview

  • BofA Securities initiated coverage of Atlassian on September 23 with a Neutral rating and a $200 price target.
  • The firm said management targets 20%+ revenue growth through FY27 but warned that the accelerated end of sales and support for Data Center and two large deals cloud the durability of growth.
  • Analysts also cited Atlassian’s potential to win share in a roughly $58 billion collaboration and project-management market given its broad platform and 300,000+ customer base.
  • Atlassian agreed to acquire DX, with the transaction expected to close in Q2 2026 subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals.
  • The company reported over $5.2 billion in FY2025 revenue with more than $1.4 billion in free cash flow, guided Q1 FY2026 revenue to $1,395–$1,403 million, and expanded its strategic partnership with Google Cloud to advance AI capabilities.