Overview
- Bank of America strategists led by Michael Hartnett say the Magnificent Seven remain the best bubble proxy yet still show room to run.
- Since March 10, 2023 the group has risen about 225%, trades near a P/E of 39, and sits roughly 20% above its 200-day average.
- By BofA’s historical yardsticks for nine past equity bubbles, peak phases averaged a 244% climb, a P/E near 58, and a 29% gap over the 200-day average.
- The rally has rebounded roughly 60% from an early-April low, with this week’s Federal Reserve rate cut cited as a supportive catalyst.
- To hedge bubble risk, BofA recommends going long cheap or distressed value plays such as Brazil, UK and global energy stocks, and shorting the corporate debt of richly priced tech firms.