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Boeing Cuts 20-Year Jet Demand Forecast and Warns of Production Gap

Boeing projects a 49,600-aircraft global fleet by 2044 with production bottlenecks and safety lapses likely to sustain a shortage of about 1,500 jets

A Boeing logo is seen at the 54th International Paris Airshow at Le Bourget Airport near Paris, France, June 18, 2023. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File Photo
Boeing

Overview

  • The updated outlook calls for 43,600 new commercial airliners through 2044 to support the projected fleet size
  • Annual passenger traffic growth has been trimmed to 4.2% from last year’s 4.7% forecast alongside lower cargo and economic growth estimates
  • Supply chain disruptions and an FAA cap on 737 production at 38 planes per month have created a backlog that may leave carriers 1,500 to 2,000 jets short
  • China and South/Southeast Asia are expected to drive half of capacity growth while Middle Eastern operators expand their share of the global fleet
  • Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg and Commercial Aircraft head Stephanie Pope withdrew from the Paris Air Show to focus on the investigation of the recent Air India 787-8 crash