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BoE Rate-Setter Dhingra Calls for Deeper Cuts, Says UK Inflation Drivers Will Fade

Her op-ed attributes the UK–eurozone inflation gap to administered prices plus temporary commodity shocks.

Overview

  • Swati Dhingra publicly urged further easing and dissented at this month's meeting in favor of cutting the Bank Rate to 3.75%.
  • She argues the services inflation gap with the euro area is concentrated in administered or indexed items such as water bills and bus fares that respond weakly to monetary policy.
  • Her analysis says wage growth explains far less of price rises in administered services than in market-based services.
  • She contends much of the food-price gap reflects global shocks to a few products, citing cocoa-driven increases in chocolate costs.
  • The Bank Rate is about 4% after five cuts from a 5.25% peak, while the MPC stays split and the OECD now sees UK inflation near 3.5%, the highest in the G20.