Overview
- UK consumer price inflation rose to 3.6% in June, the highest rate among G7 countries and the strongest since early 2024.
- Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said the inflation figures ‘don’t seem enough’ to derail the planned cut from 4.25% to 4% in August.
- The Reserve Bank of Australia surprised markets on July 8 by keeping its cash rate at 3.85% despite widespread expectations of a reduction.
- Australian unemployment climbed to 4.3% in June—the highest since late 2021—while underemployment rose to 6% amid full-time job losses and part-time gains.
- Financial markets have fully priced in a rate cut at the RBA’s August meeting as traders respond to signs of labour market weakness.