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BMW Cuts 2026 Car Margin Forecast to Range That Could Include an Operating Loss

Faster-than-expected redundancies alongside extra production shifts for the Neue Klasse have created one-off charges that will weigh on fourth-quarter profits.

Overview

  • BMW disclosed on Tuesday that it has lowered its 2026 automotive core EBIT margin guidance to minus 0.5% to plus 0.5%, a range that could see the car unit post an operating loss.
  • The company said its restructuring is being accelerated, with about 8,000 roles covered by the plan and faster-than-expected redundancies producing larger severance charges due in Q4.
  • Strong early demand for Neue Klasse models forced BMW to add extra production shifts, raising near-term costs and allowing an early phase-out of some Gen5 EV models.
  • BMW now expects automotive deliveries to fall more steeply in 2026, forecasting a decline of roughly 5% to 9.9%, while it keeps an automotive free cash flow target above €2.5 billion.
  • The profit warning follows wider pressure on German premium makers from weaker China demand and sharper local competition and could prompt further cost cuts and investor caution in the sector.