Overview

• Imperial College London researchers analyzed England’s 2024 general election results and constituency health metrics in a peer‑reviewed paper in BMJ Open Respiratory Research.
• Reform‑held constituencies showed the highest average prevalence for 15 of 20 tracked conditions, including asthma, COPD, coronary heart disease, depression and obesity.
• The strongest statistical associations with Reform support were observed for obesity, COPD and epilepsy based on constituency vote shares.
• Modeling suggested that each 10% increase in Reform vote share aligned with roughly a 1.5% higher obesity prevalence, 0.3% higher COPD prevalence, and 0.1% higher prevalence of both asthma and depression.
• Three of the party’s five seats were in the most deprived fifth of England and included several older, coastal areas; the Department of Health and Social Care cited recent NHS improvements, while Reform UK was contacted for comment.