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BMJ Study Finds No Surprises Act Cut Patients' Out-of-Pocket Costs by About $600 a Year

Premiums stayed flat, leaving high-burden medical spending unchanged.

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Overview

  • The law’s implementation in 2022 was linked to nearly $600 in average annual out-of-pocket savings per patient in states that newly gained protections.
  • No similar decline appeared in states with preexisting comprehensive protections, based on claims from 17,351 directly insured adults aged 19–64.
  • Premium spending did not change, contrary to expectations that arbitration rules would lower monthly costs.
  • Rates of high-burden medical spending—more than 10% of family income—showed no meaningful improvement.
  • Researchers pointed to anecdotal provider tactics, including among private equity–backed groups, and urged continued monitoring and policy fixes.