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Blue Jays Insider Puts Max Scherzer’s Return Odds at 30 Percent

The veteran right-hander enters free agency with decisions shaped by his pursuit of a title.

Overview

  • MLB.com’s Keegan Matheson told TSN he estimates roughly a one-in-three chance that Scherzer returns to Toronto next season.
  • Scherzer joined the Blue Jays on a one-year, $15.5 million contract signed this past winter, making him a free agent after 2025.
  • The 41-year-old has been effective since returning from a thumb injury, going 5-2 with a 3.82 ERA in 12 starts and crediting a refined changeup grip for recent success.
  • Toronto built a veteran rotation around Kevin Gausman, José Berríos and Chris Bassitt, then added Shane Bieber at the deadline, setting up significant offseason pitching decisions.
  • Coverage notes Scherzer’s age and championship priorities could lead him to seek a more clear-cut contender or to weigh his future carefully.