Overview

• Toronto holds a two-game lead over the Yankees after both teams won on Sunday.
• Owning the 8–5 season-series tiebreaker over New York, Toronto’s AL East magic number is four, with the earliest clinch coming Wednesday.
• Six games remain for each club: the Blue Jays host three vs. the Red Sox then three vs. the Rays, while the Yankees host three vs. the White Sox then three vs. the Orioles.
• FanGraphs projections heavily favor Toronto to take the division at roughly 86%, leaving New York in the low teens.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. said “The job is not finished,” as scenario analyses note the Yankees would likely need a near-perfect week, potentially 6–0, to have a shot.