Overview

• Two persistent highs, Rita and Sieglinde, are locking a broad block over Central Europe, keeping Germany largely dry, wind-weak and often stuck under fog and low stratus.
• Daytime highs generally reach 13–19°C with pockets of drizzle and poor visibility, as DWD reports grey, variable conditions from Berlin-Brandenburg and NRW to Bavaria and Baden‑Württemberg.
• Model guidance points to a pattern break early next week, with colder continental air spreading south, daytime values slipping into single digits to low teens and an uptick in nighttime frost risk.
• The colder push is expected to be drier, which could erode persistent fog but increase radiative cooling at night; localized subzero readings are flagged for parts of Bavaria midweek.
• Seasonal outlooks from ECMWF and GFS still lean toward an overall milder winter with January near long‑term norms, while talk of a polar‑vortex split enabling harsher cold is noted as a high‑uncertainty scenario.