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Blocking Highs Keep Germany Grey and Mild as Models Point to Early-Week Cooldown

Forecast guidance signals a shift to drier northerly air early next week that could drop temperatures and bring the first localized frost, especially in Bavaria.

Overview

  • High-pressure systems Rita and Sieglinde are locking in a calm pattern with widespread fog and low cloud, limiting sunshine across much of Germany.
  • Daytime highs remain seasonably mild through the weekend, generally around 14 to 19 degrees Celsius with light winds and only isolated drizzle.
  • The DWD reports persistently grey conditions in regions such as Berlin/Brandenburg and North Rhine–Westphalia, though brief clear spells are possible.
  • From around Monday, October 13, weather models indicate cooler, drier air pushing south, trimming daytime temperatures toward roughly 9 to 14 degrees.
  • The DWD 10‑day outlook highlights a frost risk in Bavaria around the night to Tuesday, October 14, while timing and extent of the cooldown still carry uncertainty.