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Stubborn High Over UK Keeps Germany Cloudy as Spanish Storms Trigger Flood Alerts

Some models point to the block lasting into late October with low confidence.

Overview

  • DWD reports high-pressure system "Sieglinde" anchored near the British Isles is locking in a calm pattern with widespread low cloud, dense fog and light drizzle, with daytime highs mostly between 11 and 18 degrees.
  • Brief sunshine is most likely after fog in the south and southwest and over higher terrain, while the north and east remain cloudier with occasional rain.
  • Regional outlooks for North Rhine–Westphalia and nearby states highlight predominantly gray conditions with frequent sprühregen and 13–17 degrees, with only short brighter phases early in the week.
  • A separate upper-level low "Alice" is unleashing severe rainfall over eastern and southern Spain and the Balearics, prompting cell-broadcast alerts, flight disruptions and 24-hour totals above 100 l/m², with further heavy rain warned by AEMET and DWD.
  • Medium-range guidance diverges, with some runs and analysts signaling a prolonged block into late October or November and others hinting at an Atlantic breakthrough later in the month, leaving forecasters cautious about the outlook.