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Blocking High Locks In Mild, Dry December for Germany

Forecasters say the month is running close to 2015’s warmth, leaving lowland white‑Christmas chances near zero.

Overview

  • An unusually persistent high over Central Europe is suppressing Atlantic systems, keeping Germany largely mild and rain‑starved into late December.
  • Germany’s December mean temperature stands near 5.6°C, just 0.9°C below the 2015 record, with models indicating the warmth could continue.
  • The DWD issued a short‑term ice warning Thursday morning for several southern Bavarian counties, including Ostallgäu, Garmisch‑Partenkirchen and Rosenheim.
  • Forecasts call for frequent fog and low stratus under an inversion, with highs commonly around 6–13°C and sunnier conditions in higher terrain.
  • Model guidance favors continued blocking with minimal precipitation (GFS) while ECMWF allows a small late‑December shift mainly for higher elevations; ski areas report retreating snow and early pollen has been observed along the Rhine.