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Bitcoin Slides Toward $106,000 as ETF Outflows and Derivatives Stress Hit Crypto

Powell’s warning that a December rate cut is not assured shifted traders to risk-off positioning.

Overview

  • U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs swung back to withdrawals, with about $470.7 million in net outflows on Oct. 29 and roughly $488 million on Oct. 30, as all funds reported zero inflows on both days.
  • More than $1 billion in crypto positions were liquidated over 24 hours as Bitcoin touched roughly $106,400, with Ethereum dipping below $3,700 and broad altcoin losses intensifying.
  • Roughly $13.5 billion in Bitcoin options and about $2.5 billion in Ethereum options expire on Oct. 31, concentrating near-term volatility as traders eye resistance near $112,000–$113,500 and a max-pain level around $114,000.
  • On-chain and flow data point to cooler U.S. demand, with long-term holders distributing about 104,000 BTC per month, daily exchange transfers near $293 million, Coinbase premiums flat, and CME futures basis at multi‑year lows.
  • Technical readings remain disputed around Bitcoin’s 200‑day moving average, and on-chain trackers flagged SpaceX’s third Bitcoin transfer in 10 days (281 BTC), which analysts characterized as custody management rather than exchange selling.