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Bitcoin Set to Finish 2025 Down as Stocks Rally, Breaking a Decade-Long Link

Forced liquidations plus weak ETF demand drained momentum, sending flows to AI shares and precious metals.

Overview

  • The S&P 500 is up more than 16% in 2025 while Bitcoin is down about 3%, marking the first year since 2014 that stocks rose as the token fell.
  • Bitcoin slid roughly 30% from its October record above $126,000 to about $88,000 after a two-month selloff driven by billions in leveraged liquidations.
  • Inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs cooled and sentiment indicators signaled fading strength, including the year’s shortest streak of consecutive daily highs during a record-setting year.
  • Analysts point to AI-fueled equity gains and renewed interest in gold and silver as key destinations for speculative capital that previously favored crypto.
  • Others argue the calendar snapshot overstates weakness, noting Bitcoin still materially outperforms the S&P 500 over the past two years.