Overview
- Bitcoin is consolidating around $105,000–$106,400, repeatedly testing a cycle‑defining pivot near $106,400 as immediate resistance clusters at $107,000–$108,000 and again near $110,000.
- Spot Bitcoin ETF prints remain inconsistent, with roughly $946 million in net outflows reported for the week to Nov. 3 and only a small $1.15 million net inflow on Monday, underscoring choppy demand.
- Strategy disclosed a 487 BTC purchase worth about $49.9 million, taking reported holdings to roughly 641,692 BTC, but the headline buy did not decisively shift market direction.
- Derivatives positioning stays heavy after record options open interest in late October, with notable put concentration near $100,000 that can pin price and cap upside until skew turns toward calls.
- 10x Research estimates about 5.9 million BTC moved between $100,000 and $126,000, warning that a break below $100,000 could accelerate selling into a liquidity gap toward ~$93,000, while reclaiming levels above $110,000 alongside a multi‑day ETF creation streak could reopen $114,000–$120,000.