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Bitcoin Reclaims $115,000 on Fed Cut Bets and U.S.–China Trade Progress

Dovish expectations plus trade-talk optimism triggered a short squeeze that carried prices into the mid-$110,000s.

Overview

  • Bitcoin hovered near $115,000 after touching above $116,000, retracing a large share of its early-October losses.
  • Futures markets priced a roughly 98%–99% chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut on Oct. 29 following September CPI and core CPI at 3.0% year over year.
  • CoinGlass data showed about $319 million in short positions were liquidated over 24 hours after price cleared the $112,000 level.
  • The Chinese Embassy said U.S.–China consultations in Kuala Lumpur were constructive and reached basic consensuses, while CNBC reported the White House expects a Trump–Xi meeting on Oct. 30 at APEC.
  • Glassnode tracked about 62,000 BTC moving out of long‑term wallets since mid‑October as whales accumulated, and analysts noted renewed ETF demand with some citing a Nasdaq‑implied fair value near $156,000.