Overview
- Bitcoin retreated to the $118K–$120K range after briefly touching $122K, positioning it within 1% of its $123K all-time high.
- Fresh U.S. spot ETF inflows totaling roughly $773 million over three days combined with corporate treasury buys have underwritten the recent rally.
- Traders have built heavy hedges in downside puts near $115K–$118K with options open interest around $43 billion; they point to an unfilled CME futures gap near $116K–$117K as a pullback magnet.
- On-chain data show long-term holders are reducing sales even as spot volume remains subdued; realized-profit metrics signal vulnerability to rapid reversals.
- Market participants expect today’s CPI print will decide whether Bitcoin breaks above its prior high or retraces toward lower support levels around $110K.