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Bitcoin Near $80,000 After Short Rally While Prediction Markets See Year‑End Pullback

Investor demand for perceived safe havens rose after inflation readings led to talk of larger Treasury bond purchases.

Overview

  • Bitcoin traded around $80,000 after a roughly 25% two‑week rally, with price action concentrated in a tight $78,000–$81,000 band as of Aug. 27.
  • Bettors on the Kalshi prediction market averaged a year‑end forecast near $75,000, signaling expectations for a pullback from current levels.
  • Some institutional analysts remain more bullish, with Standard Chartered projecting about $100,000 by year‑end and Bernstein offering targets of $125,000 or higher.
  • Recent flows into Bitcoin followed investor concern over rising inflation and the U.S. national debt, and talk that the Treasury might step up long‑term bond purchases, which pushed money into assets seen as safer.
  • Bitcoin’s 2026 path has been volatile after a late‑2025 peak above $126,000, and the short rally faces key technical levels and liquidity constraints that will influence whether buyers can sustain gains.