Overview
- Bitcoin is consolidating around $91,000–$92,000 with key resistance near $93,200 as roughly $3.4 billion in options expire at a max‑pain level near $91,000.
- ETF redemptions continue to pressure sentiment, including $113 million of outflows from BlackRock’s IBIT and an estimated $194.6 million net outflow across bitcoin ETFs on Thursday.
- Derivatives positioning shows ongoing caution with bitcoin futures open interest slipping to about $21 billion and 24‑hour crypto liquidations totaling roughly $280–$289 million, mostly in longs.
- Glassnode reports total supply in loss recently peaked near 7.1 million BTC and long‑term holder SOPR has dropped to about 1.43, a profile resembling early‑2022; CryptoQuant’s CEO warns a bear phase is likely without renewed ETF inflows.
- CryptoQuant data show miners accumulated about 2,417 BTC (roughly $220 million) from Nov. 23 to Dec. 4, supporting spot supply tightness as several analysts pencil in a December range near $85,000–$95,000 absent a fresh catalyst.