Overview
- Bitcoin is consolidating between $100,000 and $105,000 after briefly testing support, with resistance clustered around $105,000–$108,000 and downside liquidity near $98,000–$100,000.
- US spot Bitcoin ETFs swung from roughly $1.21 billion in outflows for the week ending Nov. 7 to mixed daily prints, including a $524 million inflow on Nov. 11 and an estimated $278 million outflow on Wednesday.
- Derivatives markets deleveraged sharply as the Nov. 12 drop to about $100,800 triggered over $610 million in liquidations and helped drive open interest down roughly 34% from October peaks to under $42 billion.
- On-chain data shows exchange reserves near multi‑year lows at around 2.4 million BTC and whale accumulation of roughly 45,000 BTC this week, even as some long‑term holders continue measured distribution.
- Risk appetite remains weak with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index sliding to fear/extreme fear, while a firmer dollar and fading odds of near‑term Fed rate cuts keep traders cautious.