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Bitcoin Holds Near $102,000 as Risk Signals Mount and ETF Demand Softens

On‑chain metrics indicate weakening institutional bid with accelerating whale distribution, keeping the $100,000 threshold fragile.

Overview

  • Bitcoin is consolidating around $101,000–$103,000 after brief dips below six figures earlier in the week, with weekend trading showing little follow‑through in either direction.
  • US spot Bitcoin ETFs logged one of their largest single‑day net outflows in weeks on Nov. 7 at about $558 million, though Farside data showed a brief return to net inflows the prior day.
  • CryptoQuant data highlight rising long‑term holder selling into a market with reduced absorption, a shift from earlier phases of the rally when expanding demand offset profit‑taking.
  • Multiple technical gauges skew bearish, including a weekly rising wedge break, a daily bearish pennant and a recent death cross, while Binance’s Sharpe Signal has slipped negative.
  • Some traders flag a trendline break and order‑block reaction near $100,000 that could support a rebound toward $104,000–$115,000, but others caution a local bottom may form closer to ~$95,000 if demand fails to recover.