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Bitcoin Falls Below $90,000, Erasing 2025 Gains as Risk-Off Deepens

Investors are repricing risk as the odds of a December Fed rate cut fade.

Overview

  • Bitcoin dropped to roughly $89,000–$90,000, leaving it about 30% below its early‑October record above $126,000 and negative for the year.
  • Market participants cite reduced chances of near‑term Fed easing, thinner liquidity, and steady spot‑BTC ETF redemptions, with about $1.8 billion in outflows since Nov. 12.
  • Derivatives stress remains elevated, with more than $19 billion liquidated in the October cascade and roughly $1 billion more in the past day, according to Coinglass trackers.
  • On‑chain data point to short‑term holder selling and exchange inflows, including a reported 65,200 BTC moved to venues at a loss, while the Fear & Greed Index slid to 11, signaling extreme fear.
  • Technical gauges have deteriorated with a break of the 50‑week moving average and a daily “death cross,” as options flows tilt to downside protection near $85,000–$80,000 and altcoins and crypto‑linked stocks extend losses.