Overview
- Bitcoin recovered to roughly $87,000–$88,000 after lows near $80,000–$82,000, leaving it about 30% below October’s record as Deutsche Bank tallied nearly $1 trillion in value erased before the bounce.
- U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs posted a fourth straight week of redemptions totaling about $1.22 billion and roughly $4.34 billion over four weeks, with November outflows around $3.5 billion even as daily flows remain choppy.
- Futures positioning was slashed by an estimated 1.3 million BTC over 30 days—the cycle’s sharpest drop—while funding turned negative and options metrics show caution despite a modest skew rebound.
- Glassnode flagged extreme oversold readings (14‑day RSI near 18.8) and improving spot flow metrics that point to seller fatigue, yet it cautioned that stabilization has not confirmed a durable trend change.
- Dovish Federal Reserve signals pushed December cut odds back toward roughly 70%–85%, helping drive the relief rally as analysts look for consolidation below the $94,000–$100,000 resistance band with risk of a secondary, weaker sell wave.