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Bills–Chiefs Takes Center Stage as Model Backs Buffalo Over Favored Kansas City

SportsLine’s 10,000-simulation model favors Buffalo despite Kansas City being a slight road favorite.

Overview

  • Kickoff is 4:25 p.m. ET at Highmark Stadium with a national CBS broadcast and streaming on Paramount+ and Fubo.
  • The betting market lists Kansas City around -2 with Buffalo roughly +110, yet the SportsLine model projects the Bills to win about 55% of simulations.
  • SportsLine cites a long-term return of well over $7,000 for $100 bettors and a 45-28 run on top-rated picks entering Week 9.
  • The model also released a five-leg Week 9 parlay paying about 25-1, including Green Bay to cover a two-touchdown spread against Carolina.
  • Context for the matchup includes Buffalo’s 11-1 home mark since last season and Kansas City’s resurgence with five wins in six games and 14 Patrick Mahomes TD passes over the last five.