Overview
- The matchup kicks off Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET at Highmark Stadium, with sportsbooks listing Kansas City around -1.5 on the road.
- Dimers’ 10,000-run simulation gives the Chiefs a 57% win probability and projects a 26-24 result, with a slight lean to the under on a total near 52.5.
- Buffalo linebackers Terrel Bernard and Matt Milano practiced fully this week, while DT DaQuan Jones and WR Joshua Palmer were listed as questionable and RB Ray Davis missed time with illness.
- Some outlets report DT Ed Oliver is on injured reserve with a torn biceps, a potential interior blow as Patrick Mahomes enters on a multi-game surge of 250+ passing yards and frequent three-TD outings.
- Context frames the stakes: Buffalo has won four straight regular-season meetings, Kansas City is 4-0 against the Bills in recent playoff clashes, and analysts highlight Chiefs targets Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice working the middle against Buffalo’s defense.