Overview
- DraftKings lists Buffalo as a 2.5-point favorite with a 44.5 over/under entering the late afternoon kickoff.
- SportsLine’s 10,000-simulation model gives the Bills a 54% chance to win and leans to the Over at 58%, projecting 26–23 Buffalo.
- Philadelphia rebounded from a three-game skid with 60 points across two wins and has leaned on Saquon Barkley in the cold.
- Buffalo rides a four-game streak with James Cook carrying a heavy workload alongside Josh Allen’s dual-threat impact.
- Cold, rainy conditions are expected, and the Bills are using Michael Badgley at kicker, raising special-teams volatility.