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Bills Open as Slight Road Favorites Over No. 1 Broncos in AFC Divisional Rematch

Oddsmakers at BetMGM made Buffalo a 1.5-point favorite despite Denver’s top seed and home field.

Overview

  • The game is set for Saturday, Jan. 17 at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, with kickoff and TV network to be announced.
  • BetMGM lists Buffalo -1.5 (-120 moneyline) with Denver +100 and a total of 46.5 points.
  • ESPN’s model gives the Bills a 50.3% win probability, reflecting projections of a near coin-flip matchup.
  • Denver enters off a first-round bye after a 14-3 season built on a top-tier defense, while No. 6 seed Buffalo advanced with a 27-24 road win over Jacksonville.
  • Ticket listings show seats starting around $485, as coverage highlights a revenge angle for Denver and the altitude advantage against Josh Allen and the Bills’ offense.