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Bills Installed as Road Favorites Over No. 1 Broncos in Denver Divisional Round

Analysts question the line, citing Denver's pass rush, home altitude, plus a bye-week advantage.

Overview

  • DraftKings lists Buffalo -1.5 with a total of 46.5 points, and SportsLine’s 10,000-simulation model projects roughly 47 points and leans to the over.
  • Kickoff is Saturday at 4:30 p.m. ET at Empower Field at Mile High, with Denver taking the field after a 13-day layoff.
  • Denver went 14-3 to secure the AFC’s top seed and a bye, while Buffalo is 12-5 after a 27-24 Wild Card win at Jacksonville.
  • Commentators, including ESPN’s Stephen A. Smith, call the pricing disrespectful to Denver, highlighting the Broncos’ 68 sacks this season.
  • Historical context from The Sporting News notes only three bye teams have entered the divisional round as underdogs in the last 40 years, and all three won.