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2d ago

Bills Installed as Big Home Favorites Over Dolphins for Week 3 Kickoff

Books list Buffalo between -12.5 and -13.5 with a 49.5 total, reflecting recent dominance over Miami.

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Overview

  • Thursday Night Football starts Week 3 at 8:15 p.m. ET in Orchard Park, with Miami visiting Buffalo at Highmark Stadium.
  • Markets from major books show spreads ranging -12.5 to -13.5 and totals at 49.5, with Buffalo moneylines roughly -700 to -900 versus Miami around +550 to +600.
  • Lines have climbed from an opening Bills -10.5 and the total ticked up from 48.5, underscoring strong support for the home side.
  • Projection models and analysts widely back Buffalo — ESPN FPI favors the Bills, Dimers gives Buffalo an 83% win chance and lists value on Under 49.5, while a SportsLine model pick leans to the Over.
  • Sportsbooks are pushing Week 3 offers, including Fanatics’ $100 FanCash sign-up bonus and Bet365’s boosted same-game parlays featuring Josh Allen, Tyreek Hill and others.