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Bills Host Chiefs With Odds on Kansas City and a Model Backing a Buffalo Upset

The 4:25 p.m. ET CBS kickoff pairs Buffalo’s regular-season edge with Kansas City’s postseason hold over the rivalry.

Overview

  • Kickoff is 4:25 p.m. ET at Highmark Stadium, with national TV coverage on CBS and streaming on Paramount+ and Fubo.
  • Sportsbooks list Kansas City as a roughly 2 to 2.5-point favorite with a total around 52.5 points.
  • SportsLine’s computer model, which simulates games 10,000 times, projects Buffalo to win about 55% of simulations and backs the underdog Bills.
  • Buffalo placed defensive tackle Ed Oliver on injured reserve this week, and the New York Post reports additional absences and questionables for both teams, including Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco ruled out.
  • The Bills enter 5-2 and the Chiefs 5-3, with Buffalo 4-1 against Kansas City in recent regular-season AllenMahomes meetings and the Chiefs 4-0 in playoff clashes.