Particle.news
Download on the App Store

Bills Host Chiefs in Week 9 Rematch as Kansas City Opens Slight Favorite

Betting models and sportsbooks give Kansas City a slight edge.

Overview

  • The game kicks off Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park.
  • Both teams carry winning records — Bills 5-2 and Chiefs 5-3 — as they sit one game back in their divisions and Patrick Mahomes extends a five-game run of 250-plus passing yards.
  • Buffalo linebackers Matt Milano and Terrel Bernard practiced fully this week, while DT Ed Oliver remains on injured reserve and the Chiefs may be without RB Isiah Pacheco.
  • Sportsbooks list Kansas City around -1.5, and Dimers’ model gives the Chiefs a 57% win probability with a projected 26-24 final.
  • The rivalry’s split holds: Buffalo has won four straight regular-season meetings, and Kansas City is 4-0 against the Bills in the playoffs, including January’s 32-29 AFC title game.