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Bills Heavy Favorites vs. Winless Saints as Week 4 Kicks Off in Buffalo

Models still heavily favor Buffalo despite key defensive absences.

Overview

  • Kickoff is 1 p.m. ET on CBS with Andrew Catalon, Charles Davis and Jason McCourty; streaming is available on Paramount+ and Fubo in select markets.
  • Buffalo enters 3-0 with an offense topping 30 points per game, while 0-3 New Orleans has struggled on third down and in generating quarterback pressure.
  • Defensive tackle Ed Oliver and linebacker Matt Milano are ruled out; right tackle Spencer Brown and edge rusher A.J. Epenesa are questionable, and rookie CB Max Hairston is eligible to return from IR without a set timeline.
  • Oddsmakers list Buffalo around -15.5 with a total near 47.5 as the Bills ride a 13-game regular-season home win streak.
  • Dimers’ updated 10,000-simulation model gives Buffalo about an 89% win probability with a projected score of 31-17.