Overview
- Sportsbooks list Buffalo around a 9.5 to 10-point favorite, with moneylines heavily tilted toward the Bills (as short as -500 at some books).
- Gambling911 reports roughly 95% of early bets on Buffalo, pushing the spread to -10 at several shops, with some toggling to 9.5.
- Predictive models such as ESPN and Dimers generally project Buffalo in the mid-to-high 60% win range, with some simulations higher.
- Miami enters in flux after parting ways with GM Chris Grier and trading edge rusher Jaelan Phillips, and the offense has sputtered with a 28-6 loss to Baltimore and just six points in each of its last two defeats.
- Buffalo rides consecutive wins, including over the Chiefs, yet faces uncertainty from multiple defensive injuries highlighted by Michael Hoecht’s Achilles tear and other key absences.