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2h ago

Bills Heavily Favored Over Reeling Dolphins in Week 10 AFC East Rematch

Betting markets reflect confidence in Buffalo despite defensive attrition, with Miami in organizational turmoil.

Will Mike McDaniel and the Miami Dolphins beat the Buffalo Bills on Sunday? NFL Week 10 predictions, picks, odds preview the AFC East football game on Nov. 9, 2025.
Miami Dolphins owner Stephen Ross is seen during practice, Wednesday, July 30, 2025 at the Baptist Health Training Complex in Miami Gardens. (Joe Cavaretta/South Florida Sun Sentinel)
De’Von Achane #28 of the Miami Dolphins scores a touchdown against the Atlanta Falcons during the first quarter in the game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Oct. 26, 2025 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
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Overview

  • Buffalo (6-2) visits Miami (2-7) on Sunday, Nov. 9 at 1 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium, televised on CBS.
  • Sportsbooks list the Bills around -9 to -10 with a steep moneyline edge; early wagering reports show most bets on Buffalo as the line ticked toward -10.
  • Simulation models and expert picks largely back Buffalo, with multiple outlets placing the Bills’ win probability near two-thirds or higher.
  • The Bills reported season-ending Achilles tear for DE Michael Hoecht and enter with further defensive injuries that strain depth.
  • Miami recently parted ways with GM Chris Grier and traded edge rusher Jaelan Phillips, and the Bills have dominated the matchup with Josh Allen, including a 31-21 win in Week 3.