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Bills Favored Over Steelers in Pivotal AFC Playoff Race Matchup

With seven AFC teams clustered at 7-4 or 6-5, the result could swing Wild Card positioning.

Overview

  • Buffalo (7-4) visits Pittsburgh (6-5) on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET at Acrisure Stadium, with CBS carrying the broadcast.
  • Sportsbooks list the Bills as 3.5-point favorites and some models give them about a 64% chance to win.
  • Buffalo’s availability picture includes LB Terrel Bernard not expected to play, RT Spencer Brown unlikely, LT Dion Dawkins in concussion protocol, and TE Dalton Kincaid described as having a chance to return.
  • Josh Allen was sacked a career-high eight times last week and has 28 sacks this season, drawing focus to a matchup that features Steelers pass rusher T.J. Watt.
  • Pittsburgh leads the AFC with 20 takeaways but has allowed 31 points five times, while Bills RB James Cook remains a steady producer and Buffalo is 5-1 when he rushes for 100-plus yards.