Overview

• Buffalo visits Atlanta on Monday, Oct. 13 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with kickoff at 7:15 p.m. ET on ESPN and streaming available on Fubo.
• Early BetMGM pricing lists the Bills around -4 with a moneyline near -200 and an over/under of 48.5 points, though numbers can shift before kickoff.
• Data models lean toward Buffalo, including Dimers projecting roughly a 67% win probability and SportsLine simulations nearing 80% for a Bills victory with strong cover rates.
• Analysts note potential Atlanta value after a bye and highlight Bijan Robinson’s matchup versus a Buffalo run defense that has been targeted, with Sportsnaut calling a Falcons upset.
• The Bills–Falcons game headlines a Week 6 Monday Night Football doubleheader that also features Bears–Commanders on ABC.