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Bills Favored Over Buccaneers in Week 11 as Injuries Shape Outlook

Fresh injury reports help tilt projections toward Buffalo.

Overview

  • Buffalo hosts Tampa Bay at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov. 16 at Highmark Stadium with coverage on CBS and streaming on Fubo and Paramount+.
  • BetMGM lists the Bills as 5.5-point favorites with a moneyline around -250 and the total near 50 points.
  • Updated modeling leans Buffalo, including ESPN’s 59.9% win probability and a Dimers forecast of 66% with a projected 27-22 score.
  • The Buccaneers are dealing with key absences, with Chris Godwin and Bucky Irving expected out, according to recent reports.
  • Bills injuries bear watching, with Dalton Kincaid uncertain and several defenders, including Christian Benford and Taron Johnson, listed as questionable.
  • Both teams enter 6-3 after losses last week, positioning this game as a notable test for playoff positioning.
  • Secondary-market tickets were reported to start around $193, with lower-level seats beginning near $307 at publication time.