Particle.news
Download on the App Store
16 ARTICLES
·
6h ago

Bills-Chiefs Rematch Set for Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET at Highmark Stadium as Odds, Models Split

SportsLine forecasts a swing in Buffalo's AFC No. 1 seed odds from 7.7% to 30.7% depending on Sunday’s result.

Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills makes a pass in the second quarter of the game against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium on October 26, 2025 in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Image
Image
10/29/2025

Overview

  • Betting remains tight and inconsistent across books, with BetMGM listing Kansas City as a 1 to 1.5-point favorite while other markets have Buffalo -2.5 and totals ranging roughly from 48.5 to 52.5.
  • Projection models diverge on the winner, with ESPN’s metrics giving the Chiefs about a 56% chance and Dimers’ simulations giving the Bills about a 59% edge.
  • SportsLine modeling shows major playoff-seeding effects: a Chiefs win boosts their No. 1 seed chance to 24.1% (down to 3.2% with a loss), while Buffalo ranges from 30.7% with a win to 7.7% with a loss.
  • The game airs on CBS with streaming via Fubo and NFL+ in the U.S., with international options on DAZN’s NFL Game Pass and Sky Sports.
  • Tickets are on sale with entry prices reported around $315, as the matchup revisits last season’s AFC Championship pairing with Buffalo at 5-2 and Kansas City at 5-3.