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2d ago

Bills Big Favorites Over Dolphins as Week 3 Betting Market Locks In

Betting markets price Buffalo by roughly two touchdowns with a 49.5 total, reflecting model confidence.

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Overview

  • Thursday Night Football kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET at Highmark Stadium, streaming on Prime Video nationwide with WKBW carrying the game over the air in the Buffalo market.
  • Books list the spread in the Bills’ favor between -12.5 (DraftKings/BetMGM snapshots) and -13.5 (ESPN BET), with the total at 49.5.
  • The line opened around Buffalo -10.5 and has ticked up, with outlets noting routine pregame movement tied to injuries and betting flow.
  • Projections lean Buffalo: ESPN’s FPI gives the Bills roughly a 76% win chance, and SportsLine’s model highlights an Over lean with an A-rated side pick.
  • Sportsbooks are pushing Week 3 with promos and full-slate odds, including a Fanatics offer for Dolphins–Bills, while fantasy rankings tab Buffalo’s D/ST as a top start.