Overview
- Vote counting for the Bihar Assembly is underway, with Gift Nifty indicating a cautious open below Thursday’s close.
- InCred Equities estimates a short-term 5–7% Nifty decline if the NDA loses, pointing to a potential “coalition discount” and a volatility spike.
- The brokerage warns of possible foreign investor outflows, higher bond yields and mild rupee pressure if results diverge from projections.
- Strategists from Motilal Oswal and Tradejini expect only brief swings unless the final tally sharply departs from exit polls.
- Investors are watching Bihar-linked stocks and projects—such as RailTel, L&T, NCC, GR Infraprojects, Aditya Vision and Hindustan Media Ventures—against a backdrop of Rs 1.36 lakh crore in ongoing infrastructure work, with InCred outlining Centre-level realignment as a tail risk.