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BigBear.ai Nears $7 on Defense Buzz as Valuation Questions Persist

The company reports substantial cash reserves after a quarter of falling revenue alongside a large non-cash loss.

Overview

  • Shares rose 7.1% Wednesday to $6.98, extending a roughly 400% 12-month rally tied to defense-focused momentum.
  • BigBear.ai announced a collaboration with SMX to support U.S. Naval Forces Southern Command/4th Fleet at UNITAS 2025, highlighting its mission-oriented AI capabilities.
  • Q2 2025 revenue came in at $32.5 million, down 18% year over year, with a reported net loss of $228.6 million driven largely by non-cash items.
  • Management now projects 2025 revenue of $125 million to $140 million after cutting prior guidance of $160 million to $180 million.
  • The company cites about $391 million in cash and modest debt, while analysts flag a rich valuation near 13.4 times sales and ongoing share volatility.