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Big Oil Faces Investor Scrutiny Over Potential Buyback Cuts as Q1 Results Loom

With Brent crude prices hovering at $66 per barrel, major oil companies are expected to adjust capital strategies to navigate sustained lower revenues.

A pump jack operates near a crude oil reserve in the Permian Basin oil field near Midland, Texas, U.S. February 18, 2025.  REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
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Overview

  • Brent crude prices have fallen to around $66 per barrel, leading the U.S. Energy Information Administration to revise its 2025 price forecast to $67.87 per barrel.
  • Chevron is anticipated to reduce share buybacks to the lower end of its $10–20 billion guidance as analysts predict adjustments to capital allocation strategies.
  • BP may slow the pace of its share repurchase program, adding pressure on its underperforming stock, according to analysts' expectations.
  • Italy’s Eni has cut its 2025 capital expenditure plans while committing to maintain shareholder distributions, including dividends and buybacks.
  • Shell projects weaker LNG liquefaction volumes for Q1 but expects improved trading and refining margins to partially offset this decline.