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Big Oil Beats Expectations Despite Profit Declines and Oil Price Pressures

Shell, Chevron, and Exxon Mobil maintain robust shareholder returns and production growth as they navigate lower crude prices and tariff-driven uncertainty.

A Chevron gas station sign is seen in Austin, Texas, U.S., October 23, 2023.   REUTERS/Brian Snyder/File Photo
A pump jack operates near a crude oil reserve in the Permian Basin oil field near Midland, Texas, U.S. February 18, 2025.  REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
ExxonMobil logo is seen in this illustration taken, October 6, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Overview

  • Shell reported Q1 2025 adjusted earnings of $5.58 billion, a 28% year-on-year decline, but exceeded analyst expectations and announced a $3.5 billion share buyback program.
  • Chevron posted $3.8 billion in Q1 earnings, meeting Wall Street estimates, and set its annual share repurchase target at $11.5–$13 billion for 2025.
  • Exxon Mobil outperformed profit forecasts with $7.71 billion in Q1 earnings, driven by production gains in the Permian Basin and Guyana, despite a 6% year-on-year decline.
  • Falling crude prices, exacerbated by U.S. tariff policies, have pressured revenues, but all three companies emphasized cost discipline and strategic capital allocation to sustain resilience.
  • Shareholder returns remain a priority, with Shell executing its 14th consecutive quarter of buybacks, Chevron maintaining strong payouts, and Exxon on track for $20 billion in annual repurchases.