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Big 12 Title Race Narrows: Texas Tech, BYU Can Clinch Berths With Weekend Wins

The results will shape Texas Tech’s playoff seeding while leaving BYU’s case under committee scrutiny.

Overview

  • Texas Tech visits West Virginia and BYU hosts UCF on Saturday, with each securing a Big 12 championship berth by winning.
  • If either or both lose, only Utah and Arizona State remain alive, with Utah needing a win over Kansas plus a Texas Tech loss, a BYU win, and an Arizona State win.
  • Arizona State must beat Arizona, then advance through one of three combinations: losses by both BYU and Utah, or a Texas Tech loss paired with either a BYU win and Utah loss or a BYU loss and Utah win.
  • The Big 12 has published seven official qualification scenarios with tiebreakers that progress from head-to-head and common opponents to strength metrics and SportSource Analytics rankings.
  • ESPN’s predictor gives Texas Tech a 90% chance to make the 12-team CFP while BYU sits near 49%; Texas Tech also notes LB Jacob Rodriguez’s Heisman buzz and QB Behren Morton’s leg issue as the school prepares logistically for a possible Dec. 6 title game.